Trends And Targets

#FTSE #Gold  Many dog owners hate an amusing game played by their pets, the “it’s a ‘look only toy’, don’t touch, as the animal parades around carrying a toy, a stick, underwear, or even a live frog in the case of our monster. While the dog finds it hysterical, their devotion to the game can prove every bit as distressing as the FTSE’s “Will It or Won’t It?” antics as the UK market refuses to behave.

For us, the issue started on February 16th last year, a day when the FTSE hit a high of 8047 points, closing the session at 8012 points. By achieving these highs, the market laid down a fairly clear set of rules for the future, two target levels and if both were exceeded, we’d logically anticipate a climbing period ahead for the FTSE. Unfortunately, despite teasing investors like a grinning Golden Retriever, the index remains moribund with the highest set of results being on 12th April, a high of 8044 and a closing price of 7995 points. Typically, when intraday highs start to exceed prior highs, it gives a fairly reliable indication of good times ahead but with this set of results, we now lack confidence. But we’re not rushing out to dig holes to hide in, not yet anyway.

 

Following on from Tuesday big fall on the FTSE of 172 points, the market has been struggling to show coherent recovery and it’s currently the case where below 7793 risks triggering reversal to an initial 7726 points and a very possible rebound. This difficulty comes with closure below 7726 as it dumps the FTSE into a zone, where ongoing reversal to an eventual 7556 calculates as possible. Our suspicion currently is what’s going on is being blamed on Middle East war nerves, rather than anything solid and as a result, the market is quite literally colouring within the lines until resolution or otherwise is achieved. For the FTSE, almost regardless of outcome, we suspect the index shall head upward eventually.

Should this scenario trigger, our tightest stop works out at 7861 points.

 

However, if the market chooses to celebrate the fact Dec & Ant are no longer on television, above 7861 holds some slight hope as above this level calculates with the potential of launching the FTSE toward 7906 points. Our secondary, if such is exceeded, works out at 7950 points, obviously doubtful given the lethargic nature of the market currently.

 

It’s a weekend without snow, despite the promised 20cm the Met Office threatened for yesterday and today. Instead, we’ve have rain, hail, sunshine, wind, rain, and then some more rain. But this weekend looks good, so if you’re heading to Argyll, now’s your chance for at least two days. Except on recent form, the Met Office are terrible.

Enjoy Formula1 this weekend. It’s from China, so the winning drivers have probably been chosen already as nothing interesting ever seems to come from racing in Shanghai. We expect Red Bull 1st & 2nd, a Ferrari, then no-one really cares thereafter.

 

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:56:55PM	BRENT	8626.6	8560	8518		8710	8727	8783		8664	‘cess
11:00:30PM	GOLD	2378.98	2364	2348		2381	2395	2417		2375
11:02:38PM	FTSE	7837	7845	7833		7883	7902	7925		7865
11:05:04PM	STOX50	4919.6	4892	4872		4928	4951	4966		4921
11:10:45PM	GERMANY	17759.7	17716	17668		17778	17870	17908		17771
11:13:33PM	US500	5013.3	5001	4944		5049	5057	5076		5025
11:17:12PM	DOW	37795.5	37675	37550		37817	38092	38199		37802	Shambles
11:20:13PM	NASDAQ	17386	17355	17293		17430	17595	17673		17388
11:23:23PM	JAPAN	37761	37705	37525		37854	38123	38180		38014

 

18/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7877 points. Change of 0.38%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,551,072,926 a change of 27.48%

17/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7847 points. Change of 0.35%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,138,744,008 a change of -8.61%

16/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7820 points. Change of -1.82%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,622,635,189 a change of 16.7%

15/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7965 points. Change of -0.38%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,817,927,674 a change of -11.37%

12/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7995 points. Change of 0.91%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,435,726,241 a change of -8.93%

11/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7923 points. Change of -0.48%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,968,969,501 a change of -30.54%

10/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7961 points. Change of 0.34%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,593,583,138 a change of 30.85%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:IPF International Personal Finance** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **

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Updated charts published on : Aston Martin, British Airways, International Personal Finance, Ocado Plc,

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LSE:AML Aston Martin. Close Mid-Price: 151 Percentage Change: + 0.00% Day High: 154.6 Day Low: 149.5

If Aston Martin experiences continued weakness below 149.5, it will invar ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 169.8 Percentage Change: + 5.66% Day High: 169.5 Day Low: 163.55

Above 172 now calculates as capable of a lift to an initial 195p. If excee ……..

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LSE:IPF International Personal Finance. Close Mid-Price: 102.5 Percentage Change: + 0.99% Day High: 103.5 Day Low: 100

In the event International Personal Finance experiences weakness below 10 ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc. Close Mid-Price: 350 Percentage Change: + 0.52% Day High: 350.5 Day Low: 335.2

Target met. In the event Ocado Plc experiences weakness below 335.2 it ca ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#Gold #SP500  The decision to change the holding company name Royal Mail to International Distribution Services back in 2022 must appear, with hindsight, the work of genius as it firmly separated the organisation  from the Post Office. This probably minimised the amount of  potential cross contamination due to Post Offices abhorrent behaviour over the years. The level of negative publicity the Post Office continues to shower upon itself is truly mind blowing.

However, over the years Royal Mail certainly managed to put a few feet wrong, not least being their misguided effort to ditch the Royal Mail brand and introduce Consignia. This concept, perhaps the work of an outsourced PR department in Namibia, proved rather silly as the company attempted to walk away from the good will generated by 500 years of history. The disaster is still apparently taught to marketing students as a case study in how not to do things in the real world.

Royal Mail (International Distribution Services) share price rose by an impressive 28.85% on news someone is offering £4.5bn to take the company over. While the initial bid has been rejected, a further bid is being discussed and as a result, the share price is showing interesting potentials.

 

Since the company name change in 2022, the share price has been virtually flatlining, somehow adhering to an unwritten rule the share price at changeover of 206p was going to hold a long term attraction. As a result, every attempt to head north has seen the price rappel down to around the 2 quid level But with the introduction of a new player – who is already the largest shareholder, there’s quite a fascinating potential making itself known. Above just 279p now looks capable of triggering movement to an initial 292p with our secondary, if beaten, at 356p.

Should everything decide to go wrong, below 212p would strike the first blow, signalling the potential of reversal to 199p initially with secondary, if broken, at a hopeful bottom of 176p.

We think this intends head upward.

 

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
10:02:49PM	BRENT	8693									‘cess
10:05:51PM	GOLD	2360.26	2356	2347	2330	2380	2400	2419	2450	2373
10:08:12PM	FTSE	7868									Shambles
10:10:23PM	STOX50	4909.2									‘cess
10:21:42PM	GERMANY	17769
10:26:56PM	US500	5020	5007	4975	4936	5041	5079	5100	5131	5056
10:29:43PM	DOW	37742
10:36:12PM	JAPAN	37696									‘cess

 

17/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7847 points. Change of 0.35%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,138,744,008 a change of -8.61%

16/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7820 points. Change of -1.82%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,622,635,189 a change of 16.7%

15/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7965 points. Change of -0.38%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,817,927,674 a change of -11.37%

12/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7995 points. Change of 0.91%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,435,726,241 a change of -8.93%

11/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7923 points. Change of -0.48%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,968,969,501 a change of -30.54%

10/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7961 points. Change of 0.34%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,593,583,138 a change of 30.85%

9/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7934 points. Change of -0.11%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,567,332,567 a change of 22.56%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:MMAG Music Magpie** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:SCLP Scancell** **

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Updated charts published on : Block Energy PLC, Carnival, Music Magpie, Ocado Plc, Scancell,

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LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC. Close Mid-Price: 1.45 Percentage Change: + 7.41% Day High: 1.5 Day Low: 1.35

Further movement against Block Energy PLC ABOVE 1.5 should improve accele ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival. Close Mid-Price: 1012.5 Percentage Change: + 0.60% Day High: 1032 Day Low: 994

In the event Carnival experiences weakness below 994 it calculates with a ……..

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LSE:MMAG Music Magpie Close Mid-Price: 6.25 Percentage Change: -3.85% Day High: 6.5 Day Low: 6.25

Target met. If Music Magpie experiences continued weakness below 6.25, it ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc. Close Mid-Price: 348.2 Percentage Change: + 1.55% Day High: 352 Day Low: 340

Continued weakness against OCDO taking the price below 340 calculates as ……..

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LSE:SCLP Scancell Close Mid-Price: 9.55 Percentage Change: -1.04% Day High: 9.65 Day Low: 9.44

If Scancell experiences continued weakness below 9.44, it will invariably ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#FTSE #Trump  To judge by internet chat rooms, Americans are once again showing an inclination to take their politicians seriously. While in the UK, there seems to be a broad appreciation our elected ‘representatives’ neither represent us, most have dubious morality, and the vast majority are only on the job to maximise their earnings. Such is the character of debate in the UK, most MP’s should only have risen to the rank of Local Councillor.

It’s easy to expect the next UK election will suffer lower voting figures than ever, while politicians wring their hands and blame the electorate for not engaging with them. It’s easy to wish we’d adopt a “None Of The Above” option on voting slips, something with mandatory implications to avoid what happened in America, where a recent uncontested vote for the Republican presidential nomination saw the unchallenged candidate lose substantially to “None of The Above”, unfortunately a non-binding choice. However, the woman did ultimately withdraw from the race for the top job.

Perhaps living in Scotland has soured any taste of politics, both due to the utter incompetence of the party in Government here and the corrupt behaviour of the previous leaders cabal of witches and their attempts to see Mr Salmond imprisoned on fabricated evidence. This particular story hasn’t run its course yet with more hilarity anticipated later this year, while many existing members of the Scottish parliament are following English Tories by announcing they don’t intend stand for re-election. In the UK, we never get the leader we voted for, simply because such a facility isn’t open to us. But in the USA, they seem to get the ‘leadership’ which the best money can buy…

 

This disappointing nature of politics in the UK and USA is certainly ringing a sour note this year.

 

Mr Trumps most recent ‘astounding’ triumph, NASDAQ:DJT, has been deemed a cumbersome name, not worthy of the being written again. This, the vehicle behind his answer to Twitter, a social media venture called “Truth” has experienced a pretty varied time over the last few years and the anti-Trump clique in chatrooms are crowing at the demise of the share price. While doubtless this is partially to do with the blokes legal affairs, the fact the company are choosing to issue more shares and further dilute the issued value certainly hasn’t helped, effectively pouring petrol on the fire.

We’re not convinced the pro-Biden brigade shall have the first laugh here.

While more immediate price reversal appears possible, below $22 suggests imminent weakness to an initial $20 with our secondary, if broken, at possible bottom of just 11 dollars. This target level is really quite important, representing a price level below which we cannot calculate. As a result, it may be worth while keeping an eye on Trump Media in case the $11 level makes an appearance.

Currently it is the case any bounce needs above $31 to catch our interest as this looks capable of promoting movements to an initial 34 with our secondary, if beaten, at a game changing $43, along with a need to urgently revisit our analysis. And hopefully this shall be the only time this year we need enact an analysis where both Biden or Trump get mentioned.

 

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:49:28PM	BRENT	8946.1
9:52:27PM	GOLD	2383.5
9:55:20PM	FTSE	7827	7794	7763	7668	7835	7884	7914	7954	7836	Success
9:59:16PM	STOX50	4928.2									Success
10:01:51PM	GERMANY	17766.7									‘cess
10:04:41PM	US500	5051.9
10:07:10PM	DOW	37828.5									‘cess
10:23:26PM	NASDAQ	17727									Shambles
10:26:03PM	JAPAN	38462	38288	38160	37559	38500	38648	38720	38864	38434	‘cess

 

16/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7820 points. Change of -1.82%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,622,635,189 a change of 16.7%

15/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7965 points. Change of -0.38%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,817,927,674 a change of -11.37%

12/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7995 points. Change of 0.91%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,435,726,241 a change of -8.93%

11/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7923 points. Change of -0.48%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,968,969,501 a change of -30.54%

10/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7961 points. Change of 0.34%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,593,583,138 a change of 30.85%

9/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7934 points. Change of -0.11%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,567,332,567 a change of 22.56%

8/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7943 points. Change of 0.4%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,358,628,061 a change of -25.26%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AML Aston Martin** **LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **

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Updated charts published on : Aston Martin, Block Energy PLC, Carnival, Ocado Plc,

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LSE:AML Aston Martin Close Mid-Price: 154.9 Percentage Change: -1.90% Day High: 157.4 Day Low: 150.5

Target met. In the event Aston Martin experiences weakness below 150.5 it ……..

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LSE:BLOE Block Energy PLC. Close Mid-Price: 1.35 Percentage Change: + 17.39% Day High: 1.35 Day Low: 1.1

Now above 1.375 calculates with the potential of a lift to 1.68 with our s ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival Close Mid-Price: 1006.5 Percentage Change: -2.75% Day High: 1028.5 Day Low: 998.4

Continued weakness against CCL taking the price below 998.4 calculates as ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc Close Mid-Price: 342.9 Percentage Change: -5.77% Day High: 365.6 Day Low: 341.6

Weakness on Ocado Plc below 341.6 will invariably lead to 335p with secon ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#Gold #WallSt  For rather a long time, I’d assumed Man Group were something to do with a Norwich company who made big trucks, along with a strong pedigree in aircraft and automobiles. It was a bit of a surprise to discover the word Mann at the front of lorries actually employed two N’s in the name, whereas LSE listed Man Group were actually formed by a man called Man in 1783. A quite amazing statistic is, aside from their diversification into Financial Services, the company supplied the Royal Navy with rum for its daily Rum Ration, from 1784 until 1970 without interruption.

They’ve obviously been around the block, surviving 201 years beyond the founders death in 1823!

Their share price hasn’t been achieving anything of great interest but recent price movements in relation to the downtrend since 2008 are perhaps of note, maybe even indicative of happier days ahead without being forced to partake a shot of rum.

 

Currently, above 280p should trigger a change in fortunes, calculating with the potential of a lift to an initial 293p with our secondary, if exceeded, working out at a longer term 350p. Unusually, and something worth watching for with this particular share, will be closure above 283p signalling the share price closing above the circled high which comprises part of the 2008 downtrend. This shall be regarded as quite a big deal for the long term, indicating the share price has eased a toe over the starting line for long term recovery where a distant (and impossible looking) 551p calculates as possible. Perhaps it’s not as unlikely as we’re suggesting, given the company claim to be trading in over 800 markets around the world. We already know most of them are nothing like the FTSE…

 

If things intend go wrong, we’d regard weakness below 252p as troubling, risking promoting reversal to an initial 240p with secondary, if broken, at 227p.

 

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:38:26PM	BRENT	8987									‘cess
9:41:45PM	GOLD	2380.4	2328	2316	2292	2361	2390	2405	2416	2365
9:45:10PM	FTSE	7900.6									Success
9:49:07PM	STOX50	4932.9									Success
9:59:55PM	GERMANY	17864.2
10:30:26PM	US500	5057.9									Success
10:32:56PM	DOW	37731	37660	37649	37403	37804	38047	38180	38353	37953	Shambles
10:39:52PM	NASDAQ	17701									Success
10:42:01PM	JAPAN	38675									Success

 

15/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7965 points. Change of -0.38%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 4,817,927,674 a change of -11.37%

12/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7995 points. Change of 0.91%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,435,726,241 a change of -8.93%

11/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7923 points. Change of -0.48%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,968,969,501 a change of -30.54%

10/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7961 points. Change of 0.34%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,593,583,138 a change of 30.85%

9/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7934 points. Change of -0.11%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,567,332,567 a change of 22.56%

8/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7943 points. Change of 0.4%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,358,628,061 a change of -25.26%

5/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7911 points. Change of -0.8%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,169,871,265 a change of 23.49%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

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Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G** **LSE:IQE IQE** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:TERN Tern Plc** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

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Updated charts published on : Carnival, ECO (Atlantic) O & G, IQE, Ocado Plc, Tern Plc, Tullow,

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LSE:CCL Carnival Close Mid-Price: 1035 Percentage Change: -0.10% Day High: 1062.5 Day Low: 1026.5

Weakness on Carnival below 1026.5 will invariably lead to 964p with secon ……..

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LSE:ECO ECO (Atlantic) O & G Close Mid-Price: 8.16 Percentage Change: -7.80% Day High: 8.65 Day Low: 7.85

Weakness on ECO (Atlantic) O & G below 7.85 will invariably lead to 7.4p ……..

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LSE:IQE IQE. Close Mid-Price: 31.9 Percentage Change: + 10.57% Day High: 32.55 Day Low: 27.65

Target met. Continued trades against IQE with a mid-price ABOVE 32.55 sho ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc. Close Mid-Price: 363.9 Percentage Change: + 2.02% Day High: 361.8 Day Low: 348.8

If Ocado Plc experiences continued weakness below 348.8, it will invariab ……..

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LSE:TERN Tern Plc. Close Mid-Price: 2.9 Percentage Change: + 7.41% Day High: 2.95 Day Low: 2.65

This now needs above 3.85 to hopefully produce recovery to an initial 4.88 ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow Close Mid-Price: 36.14 Percentage Change: -4.34% Day High: 38.8 Day Low: 35.14

All Tullow needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 38.8 to improve acceleration ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#Brent #Dax  Folk who stay in cities may have trouble with this but, in the countryside, we do not have rat problems. Except for rumours of rats which can be quite scary sounding, usually due to sightings by outsiders. Locally in our bit of Argyll, stories of super large rats abound, quite a puzzle due to food typically not lying around. On Friday, I watched one of these superman rats walking along our patio before vanishing below the “lawnmower” ramp which leads up to the back garden.

There was a problem with this particular rat.

If was roughly the size of a large domestic cat but had short legs, along with a fairly bushy tail. In fact, this looked like the sort of animal folk would cuddle, a category rats do not fall into. Except for folk who keep rats, perhaps similar with a strange human psyche which sometimes even votes for Green or LibDem… A few minutes on Google revealed the identity of our garden rat. It was a Pine Marten, fairly rare and belonging to a colour scheme which has been driving me crackers since January, when I first saw one. My most recent view was from the rear, a bushy tail in evidence but totally unlike a squirrel.

It transpires Pine Martens are fairly aggressive carnivore,  this explaining a few remnants found in the long grass. It seems they do not differentiate between rats, mice, squirrel, wood pigeon or voles, when visiting our garden takeaway.

It’s quite strange, how personally I am happy to use an Infrared Sight when searching for rodents but abhor the concept of shooting any other animal. Why is a Pine Marten cuddly, while a mouse or rat isn’t? Pine Marten look cute, look friendly, looking like they should audition for Insurance TV commercials’ in place of Meerkats. To be honest, we are quite pleased to have an invasion of Pine Marten, Red Squirrel, and that dodgy Red Squirrel we call Billy, after Billy Idol. It has a black coat, a red Mohican, and a white face, spending an absurd number of years falling out with other Squirrel. It once ran up my body, jumping off my left shoulder to a tree, while making a getaway from a furious Red ‘proper’ Squirrel.

 

Identifying a rare animal was about as pleasing as NatWest doing something useful to the share price. The recent visit to 278p met our initial target from our analysis three weeks ago and it still looks dangerously encouraging, most investors assuming their share price will behave like a cornered animal but to judge by some big picture moves, things could be interesting. Optimism remains present, due to the price managing to actually close (very slightly) above our 278p target level on four occasions.  It’s now the case where above 281p calculates as capable of an initial 295p with our secondary, if bettered, now working out at a game changing 315p

Share price closure around the 315p level shall prove to be critical for the longer term, due to Big Picture calculations entering the picture.  To cut a long and boring story short, we shall be forced to regard a long term 465p as exerting a magnetic attraction for the future.

If things intend go wrong, below 237p shall be viewed as troublesome, suggesting coming reversal to 218 with our secondary, if broken, a hopeful bottom at 197p.

 

 

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop
6:21:34PM	BRENT	8973	8978	8879	8780	9050	9082	9196	9312	8980
6:23:40PM	GOLD	2343.57								2347
11:07:14PM	FTSE	7931.3								7940
11:09:27PM	STOX50	4933								4938
11:12:18PM	GERMANY	17865	17833	17781	17654	17896	17952	17990	18042	17846
11:15:02PM	US500	5134.4								5134
11:16:57PM	DOW	38034								38040
11:22:53PM	NASDAQ	18028								18022
11:25:15PM	JAPAN	39033								39001

 

12/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7995 points. Change of 0.91%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,435,726,241 a change of -8.93%

11/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7923 points. Change of -0.48%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,968,969,501 a change of -30.54%

10/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7961 points. Change of 0.34%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,593,583,138 a change of 30.85%

9/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7934 points. Change of -0.11%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,567,332,567 a change of 22.56%

8/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7943 points. Change of 0.4%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,358,628,061 a change of -25.26%

5/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7911 points. Change of -0.8%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,169,871,265 a change of 23.49%

4/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7975 points. Change of 0.48%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,806,012,925 a change of -4.14%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

---

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AAL Anglo American** **LSE:AFC AFC Energy** **LSE:AZN Astrazeneca** **LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:CCL Carnival** **LSE:CEY Centamin** **LSE:FRES Fresnillo** **LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra** **LSE:IQE IQE** **LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **

********

Updated charts published on : Anglo American, AFC Energy, Astrazeneca, BP PLC, Carnival, Centamin, Fresnillo, Glencore Xstra, IQE, Ocado Plc, Tullow,

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LSE:AAL Anglo American. Close Mid-Price: 2201.5 Percentage Change: + 3.67% Day High: 2240.5 Day Low: 2162

Continued trades against AAL with a mid-price ABOVE 2240.5 should improve ……..

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LSE:AFC AFC Energy Close Mid-Price: 19.7 Percentage Change: -0.20% Day High: 20.5 Day Low: 18.44

Target met. In the event of AFC Energy enjoying further trades beyond 20. ……..

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LSE:AZN Astrazeneca. Close Mid-Price: 11064 Percentage Change: + 0.93% Day High: 11184 Day Low: 10962

Target met. Continued trades against AZN with a mid-price ABOVE 11184 sho ……..

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LSE:BP. BP PLC. Close Mid-Price: 539.1 Percentage Change: + 3.67% Day High: 540.9 Day Low: 528.1

Target met. Continued trades against BP. with a mid-price ABOVE 540.9 sho ……..

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LSE:CCL Carnival Close Mid-Price: 1036 Percentage Change: -2.49% Day High: 1077.5 Day Low: 1036

If Carnival experiences continued weakness below 1036, it will invariably ……..

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LSE:CEY Centamin. Close Mid-Price: 130.3 Percentage Change: + 1.88% Day High: 132.8 Day Low: 129.5

Target met. Continued trades against CEY with a mid-price ABOVE 132.8 sho ……..

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LSE:FRES Fresnillo. Close Mid-Price: 622.5 Percentage Change: + 7.61% Day High: 623.5 Day Low: 603.5

Further movement against Fresnillo ABOVE 623.5 should improve acceleratio ……..

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LSE:GLEN Glencore Xstra. Close Mid-Price: 485.7 Percentage Change: + 5.10% Day High: 488.2 Day Low: 467.9

All Glencore Xstra needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 488.2 to improve acce ……..

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LSE:IQE IQE. Close Mid-Price: 28.85 Percentage Change: + 1.41% Day High: 31.1 Day Low: 27.45

Target met. All IQE needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 31.1 to improve acce ……..

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LSE:OCDO Ocado Plc Close Mid-Price: 356.7 Percentage Change: -3.62% Day High: 375.3 Day Low: 356

In the event Ocado Plc experiences weakness below 356 it calculates with ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow. Close Mid-Price: 37.78 Percentage Change: + 5.00% Day High: 38.56 Day Low: 35.98

Target Met. Now above 36 should prove capable of a lift to an initial 42.3 ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.

#FTSE #BloodyRain  We often whinge about the weather here in Argyll while viewing the mountain in the back garden and glowering at the sea to the front. The choice of what feels like almost constant misery from rain has been self inflicted, because once every 100 days, we might be forced to survive good weather. It shouldn’t really have come as a surprise, when the Met Office issued league tables, awarding Argyll a wet sponge due to it being the wettest region of the UK with 90 inches of rain expected every year. The next area in the tables was 12% drier than Argyll!

This year, we suspect records are being broken, the constant rainfall becoming almost biblical. The next person who says “There’s no such thing as bad weather, just the wrong clothes” risks a serious riposte, due to the length of time it takes for boots and “waterproof” jackets to dry. Some bloke has even built the framework of an Ark five hundred feet up a hill locally. While the view is breathtaking (on a dry day), the reality isn’t really worth viewing close up, due to wood joints becoming quite boring very quickly. He obviously didn’t risk putting a body on the framework as it’s certain the wind would deposit the thing quite a few miles away. When our garden shed was blown away in January, we never recovered all of it, suspecting there’s a tree in the forest sporting a very unusual hat.

What has this whine got to do with the Stock Market.

 

Very little, and everything, obviously.

 

Emotion is dangerous when reviewing the markets and shares. Over the years, it became apparent we’d be more inclined to take a positive view of an instrument, if the weather outside was nice, the grass cut, the hedges flowering, and the sea calm. It became a joke in-house, expecting a miserable outlook against something, simply due to the racket emanating from the garden waterfall as it evacuated dozens of Olympic sized swimming pools of rainwater every hour. This, one of the stupid forms of measurement, akin to the several “Football fields” gold standard of nonsense, irritates as most folk haven’t seen an Olympic sized pool and some (guilty) also have never seen a football. field.

Returning to real life, it has obviously been raining again but we’re making an effort to provide an optimistic view for the FTSE.

Since 25th March, the FTSE has chosen to pause its climb, stalling at the 8000 point level, perhaps an attempt to convince traders a solid ceiling exists. Historically, this sort of pause tests last (we suspect) until sufficient orders for Short positions have been placed. One day, in a “shocking surprise”, the index may perhaps spike downward at the open, triggering all the short positions, then heading upwards in the face of all logic. Currently, our inclination is against panic on the FTSE unless the index somehow wanders below 7832 points as this is liable to trigger some real dramatics with 7779 as our initial drop target with secondary, if broken, at 7752 points and hopefully a rebound. If triggered, the tightest stop is quite attractive at 7882 points but probably could be a lot tighter.

 

However, despite the weather, our inclination is to take a more positive stance rather than stroll around in the current miasma of misery. As a result, we hope above 7965 shall trigger market recovery to an initial 8033 points with our secondary, if bettered, now at 8110 points. If triggered, the tightest stop looks like 7918 points.

 

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:23:06PM	BRENT	8981.9	8900	8866		8958	9052	9081		8996
9:28:25PM	GOLD	2375.55	2332	2314		2348	2377	2382		2361	Success
9:32:27PM	FTSE	7943.9	7887	7875		7909	7961	7989		7937	‘cess
9:35:30PM	STOX50	4994.9	4932	4895		4981	5011	5020		4988	‘cess
9:39:16PM	GERMANY	18044.3	17860	17760		17998	18085	18134		18015	‘cess
9:41:59PM	US500	5198.7	5163	5124		5213	5208	5218		5195	Success
9:45:05PM	DOW	38477.5	38200	38020		38411	38606	38644		38454	Shambles
9:50:43PM	NASDAQ	18306.7	17997	17926		18112	18337	19436		18177	Success
10:04:51PM	JAPAN	39659	39326	39201		39420	39698	39788		39615	Success

 

11/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7923 points. Change of -0.48%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,968,969,501 a change of -30.54%

10/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7961 points. Change of 0.34%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,593,583,138 a change of 30.85%

9/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7934 points. Change of -0.11%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,567,332,567 a change of 22.56%

8/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7943 points. Change of 0.4%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,358,628,061 a change of -25.26%

5/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7911 points. Change of -0.8%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,169,871,265 a change of 23.49%

4/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7975 points. Change of 0.48%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,806,012,925 a change of -4.14%

3/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7937 points. Change of -100%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,056,901,297 a change of 0%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

---

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AFC AFC Energy** **LSE:AZN Astrazeneca** **LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:CAR Carclo** **LSE:CEY Centamin** **LSE:IQE IQE** **

********

Updated charts published on : AFC Energy, Astrazeneca, BP PLC, Carclo, Centamin, IQE,

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LSE:AFC AFC Energy. Close Mid-Price: 19.74 Percentage Change: + 3.89% Day High: 19.84 Day Low: 18.98

Further movement against AFC Energy ABOVE 19.84 should improve accelerati ……..

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LSE:AZN Astrazeneca. Close Mid-Price: 10962 Percentage Change: + 2.14% Day High: 11092 Day Low: 10816

All Astrazeneca needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 11092 to improve acceler ……..

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LSE:BP. BP PLC Close Mid-Price: 520 Percentage Change: -0.02% Day High: 531.5 Day Low: 518.4

All BP PLC needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 531.5 to improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:CAR Carclo Close Mid-Price: 6.92 Percentage Change: -4.48% Day High: 0 Day Low: 0

If Carclo experiences continued weakness below 6.92, it will invariably l ……..

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LSE:CEY Centamin. Close Mid-Price: 127.9 Percentage Change: + 2.32% Day High: 128.3 Day Low: 124.4

All Centamin needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 128.3 to improve accelerati ……..

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LSE:IQE IQE. Close Mid-Price: 28.45 Percentage Change: + 10.49% Day High: 28.45 Day Low: 25.6

Further movement against IQE ABOVE 28.45 should improve acceleration towa ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares

#Gold #S&P500  We’re stalking a few bounce-back stocks, shares where the price should logically improve as the grim days of Lockdown recede to a distant memory, folk losing their fear of being trapped in a flying test tube full of germs…  IAG (British Airways) is one such share, the price cheerfully at (adjusted due to share rights issue) 440p before the pandemic kicked industry in the teeth.

The share price is starting to show early signs of coming awake, makes us wonder if it’s going to be one of the prices which proves capable of making some sort of attempt at pre-pandemic levels. To be fair, we’d anticipated the Travel and Holiday sectors to move rather faster than has been shown, even Food and Clothing proving earlier on the steps for recovery. However, with jet engine maker Rolls Royce soaring substantially higher than their pre-pandemic price level of 240p and currently just over 4 quid, we’re inclined to attach some hope for the airline sector playing catchup at some point, perhaps fairly soon. IAG’s share price is now trading higher than any level since 2021 and has also broken through the solid Blue downtrend since 2021, in addition to breaking above a less certain downtrend since 2020.

 

Visually, it certainly seems we may have a point, though some patience may be required due to British Airways inherent lack of speed when gaining altitude. On the Glasgow/London run, it was once the case where the cabin staff had time to offer a 2nd cup of undrinkable coffee whereas nowadays, the seat belts light goes out for long enough to serve food and drinks, then back on for a lazy descent into the 3rd world hell which is Heathrow.

 

Near term, we’re inclined to view 185p as the next major trigger level, due to movement above such a point calculating with the potential of a lift to an initial 215p with our secondary, if bettered, a rather more cheerful 284p. For the long term, we shall take closure above 284p as showing a degree of commitment, perhaps a solid first step on a path to a future 573p and a challenge against the share price highs pre-pandemic.

As usual, we can hope. To justify panic, below 158p will justify deployment of emergency exit ramps.

 

 

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FUTURES

Time Issued	Market	Price At Issue	Short Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Long Entry	Fast Exit	Slow Exit	Stop	Prior
9:38:00PM	BRENT	9003
9:40:44PM	GOLD	2331.66	2319	2308	2289	2334	2353	2359	2372	2332	Success
9:43:19PM	FTSE	7964									‘cess
9:46:17PM	STOX50	4986.5									‘cess
9:50:53PM	GERMANY	18067									Shambles
10:03:12PM	US500	5156	5130	5104	5060	5160	5180	5191	5212	5154	Shambles
10:06:01PM	DOW	38433.5									Shambles
10:08:45PM	NASDAQ	18008.3
10:11:17PM	JAPAN	39087									‘cess

 

10/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7961 points. Change of 0.34%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 8,593,583,138 a change of 30.85%

9/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7934 points. Change of -0.11%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,567,332,567 a change of 22.56%

8/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7943 points. Change of 0.4%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,358,628,061 a change of -25.26%

5/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7911 points. Change of -0.8%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 7,169,871,265 a change of 23.49%

4/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7975 points. Change of 0.48%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 5,806,012,925 a change of -4.14%

3/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7937 points. Change of -100%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,056,901,297 a change of 0%

2/04/2024 FTSE Closed at 7935 points. Change of 0%. Total value traded through LSE was: £ 6,396,592,284 a change of 0%

SUCCESS above means both FAST & SLOW targets were met. ‘CESS means just the FAST target met and probably the next time it is exceeded, movement to the SLOW target shall commence.

Our commentary is in two sections. Immediately below are today’s updated comments. If our commentary remains valid, the share can be found in the bottom section which has a RED heading. Hopefully, this will mean you no longer need to flip back through previous reports. HYPERLINKS DISABLED IN THIS VERSION

Please remember, all prices are mid-price (halfway between the Buy and Sell). When we refer to a price CLOSING above a specific level, we are viewing the point where we can regard a trend as changing. Otherwise, we are simply speculating on near term trading targets. Our website is www.trendsandtargets.com.

UPDATE. We often give an initial and a secondary price. If the initial is exceeded, we still expect it to fall back but the next time the initial is bettered, the price should continue to the secondary. The converse it true with price drops.

We can be contacted at info@trendsandtargets.com. Spam filters set to maximum so only legit emails get through…

---

Section One – Outlook Updated Today. Click here for Section Two – Outlook Remains Valid shares

Click Epic to jump to share: LSE:AAL Anglo American** **LSE:BP. BP PLC** **LSE:CEY Centamin** **LSE:EZJ EasyJet** **LSE:HSBA HSBC** **LSE:IAG British Airways** **LSE:IQE IQE** **LSE:SDY Speedyhire** **LSE:TLW Tullow** **LSE:TSCO Tesco** **

********

Updated charts published on : Anglo American, BP PLC, Centamin, EasyJet, HSBC, British Airways, IQE, Speedyhire, Tullow, Tesco,

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LSE:AAL Anglo American Close Mid-Price: 2145.5 Percentage Change: -2.10% Day High: 2229 Day Low: 2108.5

All Anglo American needs are mid-price trades ABOVE 2229 to improve accel ……..

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LSE:BP. BP PLC. Close Mid-Price: 520.1 Percentage Change: + 0.68% Day High: 523.5 Day Low: 516.1

Target met. In the event of BP PLC enjoying further trades beyond 523.5, ……..

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LSE:CEY Centamin. Close Mid-Price: 125 Percentage Change: + 0.40% Day High: 126.6 Day Low: 122.8

Target met. In the event of Centamin enjoying further trades beyond 126.6 ……..

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LSE:EZJ EasyJet Close Mid-Price: 571 Percentage Change: -0.45% Day High: 590.8 Day Low: 569.6

Further movement against EasyJet ABOVE 590.8 should improve acceleration ……..

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LSE:HSBA HSBC. Close Mid-Price: 663.2 Percentage Change: + 2.87% Day High: 665 Day Low: 649

Target met. In the event of HSBC enjoying further trades beyond 665, the ……..

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LSE:IAG British Airways. Close Mid-Price: 175.55 Percentage Change: + 0.77% Day High: 180.15 Day Low: 173.5

Target met. In the event of British Airways enjoying further trades beyo ……..

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LSE:IQE IQE. Close Mid-Price: 25.75 Percentage Change: + 28.75% Day High: 27.7 Day Low: 21.7

In the event of IQE enjoying further trades beyond 27.7, the share should ……..

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LSE:SDY Speedyhire. Close Mid-Price: 25.75 Percentage Change: + 1.58% Day High: 26 Day Low: 23

If Speedyhire experiences continued weakness below 23, it will invariably ……..

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LSE:TLW Tullow. Close Mid-Price: 35.82 Percentage Change: + 2.28% Day High: 36.02 Day Low: 35.1

In the event of Tullow enjoying further trades beyond 36.02, the share sh ……..

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LSE:TSCO Tesco. Close Mid-Price: 297 Percentage Change: + 3.30% Day High: 306.1 Day Low: 284

Target met. Further movement against Tesco ABOVE 306.1 should improve acc ……..

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*** End of “Updated Today” comments on shares.